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Red153
506939.4
504659.4
354753.3
Blue158
552423.4
150248.0
526041.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1308150100150200250153158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.3
47.448.7
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
red by 11.4
1502
#42
48.03.3
33.436.7
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Second
3547
#26
53.31.3
42.443.7
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 11.5
5260
#34
41.83.3
37.240.5
Auto0.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
5069
#89
39.41.3
37.138.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 16.0
5524
#84
23.43.3
21.124.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0