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Red134
7064.3
571034.6
83029.3
Blue205
516733.1
283450.3
504858.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90115050150200250134205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#4
64.31.8
54.856.7
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 6.0
5048
#10
58.34.5
35.239.7
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
Second
5710
#79
34.61.8
26.728.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 15.7
2834
#40
50.34.5
47.151.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.3
End0.0
Third
830
#70
29.31.8
15.617.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 3.9
5167
#90
33.14.5
33.037.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0