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Red79
507234.0
361848.7
353946.4
Blue151
295957.1
171839.2
345253.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10013305015020025030079151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#23
48.71.5
34.332.8
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 8.4
2959
#22
57.10.9
48.048.9
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
3539
#39
46.41.5
44.643.1
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 6.7
3452
#33
53.10.9
44.345.2
Auto0.6
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
5072
#65
34.01.5
30.228.7
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1718
#85
39.20.9
40.241.1
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0