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Red220
22663.6
6863.6
54883.8
Blue154
448228.4
86250.0
550936.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18969050100150250300220154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
83.82.2
75.277.3
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
red by 33.8
862
#53
50.03.2
42.946.0
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0
Second
68
#11
63.62.2
52.354.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 27.1
5509
#71
36.63.2
33.336.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
226
#8
63.62.2
49.251.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
red by 35.2
4482
#73
28.43.2
14.317.5
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0