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Red154
362049.9
505344.6
365639.9
Blue104
171145.9
207536.7
296047.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961050200300400154104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#24
49.92.6
40.042.7
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 2.0
2960
#48
47.90.2
41.441.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
Second
5053
#51
44.62.6
32.635.2
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1711
#41
45.90.2
32.332.1
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
Third
3656
#43
39.92.6
28.531.1
Auto0.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 3.3
2075
#86
36.70.2
33.433.3
Auto4.2
Teleop32.5
End0.0