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Red44
521637.2
366838.1
481529.8
Blue174
360254.6
3380.6
438445.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6415505010020025044174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#80
38.11.8
32.030.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 42.6
33
#5
80.61.4
68.970.3
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
Second
5216
#66
37.21.8
25.323.5
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 17.4
3602
#17
54.61.4
39.941.3
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Third
4815
#78
29.81.8
23.421.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 15.5
4384
#28
45.41.4
37.739.1
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0