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Red117
171145.9
511438.8
345253.1
Blue113
550936.6
2754.2
504659.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105123050150200250300117113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#33
53.10.2
45.245.5
Auto0.6
Teleop52.4
End0.0
blue by 6.4
59.40.6
48.748.1
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
Second
1711
#41
45.90.2
32.132.4
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 8.3
27
#55
54.20.6
39.739.1
Auto1.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
5114
#87
38.80.2
34.734.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 2.3
5509
#71
36.60.6
36.435.9
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0