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Red148
361848.7
14142.7
295957.1
Blue174
6656.4
233747.5
150248.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110134050200250300350148174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#22
57.11.5
48.950.4
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
66
#25
56.41.9
45.947.8
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Second
3618
#23
48.71.5
32.834.3
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
1502
#42
48.01.9
36.738.6
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Third
141
#35
42.71.5
35.937.4
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2337
#50
47.51.9
52.854.7
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0