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Red188
7064.3
481529.8
102397.2
Blue102
567430.1
332246.4
448228.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17971050100150200250300188102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.21.0
90.791.6
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
red by 50.8
3322
#60
46.40.6
39.540.0
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
70
#4
64.31.0
56.757.6
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 34.2
5674
#95
30.10.6
34.034.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
4815
#78
29.81.0
21.522.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 1.5
4482
#73
28.40.6
17.518.1
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0