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Red86
547826.5
296047.9
261946.5
Blue153
571226.2
556238.6
6863.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711505015020025030086153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#48
47.90.6
41.240.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
blue by 15.8
68
#11
63.61.8
54.556.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
2619
#68
46.50.6
40.039.5
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 7.9
5562
#69
38.61.8
29.531.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
5478
#88
26.50.6
22.021.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
5712
#94
26.21.8
32.133.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0