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Red174
57358.9
353644.0
360254.6
Blue202
31478.2
560340.0
365639.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109143050200250300350174202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#6
58.92.8
41.744.5
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
blue by 19.3
314
#12
78.22.9
76.179.0
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
Second
3602
#17
54.62.8
41.344.1
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 14.6
5603
#57
40.02.9
35.938.8
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
3536
#29
44.02.8
35.238.0
Auto2.0
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
3656
#43
39.92.9
31.134.1
Auto0.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0