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Red175
360455.8
569230.6
496767.5
Blue178
205468.9
440531.0
353946.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112480100160180200220175178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#13
67.51.6
62.964.5
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2054
#20
68.92.3
67.469.7
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
Second
3604
#32
55.81.6
52.454.0
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 9.4
3539
#39
46.42.3
43.145.4
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Third
5692
#82
30.61.6
28.530.1
Auto0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4405
#76
31.02.3
20.823.1
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0