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Red166
49447.9
438146.6
436258.6
Blue112
387538.4
366838.1
515539.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14083050100200250166112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#18
58.61.5
48.349.8
Auto0.7
Teleop57.9
End0.0
red by 19.0
5155
#83
39.60.8
34.034.8
Auto-1.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
494
#58
47.91.5
42.744.2
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 9.5
3875
#75
38.40.8
31.232.1
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
4381
#81
46.61.5
45.246.7
Auto1.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
3668
#80
38.10.8
30.231.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0