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Red205
213770.1
400352.0
150643.0
Blue118
506939.4
171145.9
553429.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15480050100200250205118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.12.8
63.866.6
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
red by 24.2
1711
#41
45.91.5
32.433.8
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
Second
4003
#44
52.02.8
50.153.0
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 12.6
5069
#89
39.41.5
36.137.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Third
1506
#36
43.02.8
34.136.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop43.4
End0.0
red by 13.9
5534
#93
29.11.5
26.127.6
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0