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Red166
360455.8
504858.3
567430.1
Blue174
10763.9
569230.6
560340.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712480100140160180200166174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#10
58.31.8
40.942.8
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
blue by 5.5
107
#15
63.92.2
62.164.2
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
3604
#32
55.81.8
54.055.8
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 15.9
5603
#57
40.02.2
38.841.0
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
5674
#95
30.11.8
34.536.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5692
#82
30.62.2
30.132.2
Auto0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0