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Red238
49447.9
360254.6
205468.9
Blue223
345253.1
296047.9
102397.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148176050100200250300238223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#20
68.94.0
69.773.7
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
blue by 28.3
97.22.3
91.693.9
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
Second
3602
#17
54.64.0
44.148.1
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
3452
#33
53.12.3
45.547.7
Auto0.6
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
494
#58
47.94.0
44.248.2
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Level
2960
#48
47.92.3
40.642.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0