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Red157
413037.9
353946.4
368849.3
Blue152
57358.9
7064.3
28050.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111148050200250300350157152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#47
49.31.8
42.744.5
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
blue by 15.0
70
#4
64.30.2
57.657.9
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
3539
#39
46.41.8
45.447.2
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 12.5
573
#6
58.90.2
44.544.7
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
Third
4130
#72
37.91.8
32.734.5
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 12.4
280
#56
50.20.2
45.145.3
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0