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Red181
31478.2
12337.8
571226.2
Blue134
552423.4
438146.6
118966.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411236080100160180200220181134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
78.21.9
79.080.9
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
red by 11.8
1189
#14
66.30.2
59.960.1
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
123
#52
37.81.9
30.031.9
Auto1.3
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 8.8
4381
#81
46.60.2
46.746.8
Auto1.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Third
5712
#94
26.21.9
33.935.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
5524
#84
23.40.2
23.924.1
Auto0.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0