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Red72
526041.8
440531.0
247433.5
Blue62
261946.5
171839.2
353826.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511102003004007262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#34
41.81.4
40.739.3
Auto0.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2619
#68
46.52.5
39.537.0
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
2474
#97
33.51.4
36.835.3
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1718
#85
39.22.5
43.140.6
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
4405
#76
31.01.4
23.121.7
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 4.3
3538
#96
26.72.5
29.827.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0