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Red178
547826.5
504858.3
14142.7
Blue176
505344.6
46964.6
553429.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92134050150200250300178176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#10
58.33.8
42.846.5
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
469
#38
64.62.2
65.167.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.0
End0.0
Second
141
#35
42.73.8
39.843.6
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5053
#51
44.62.2
39.241.4
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Third
5478
#88
26.53.8
19.823.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5534
#93
29.12.2
27.629.8
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0