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Red108
438445.4
546038.3
150248.0
Blue118
150643.0
507234.0
413037.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139650150200108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#42
48.00.3
41.941.6
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 5.0
1506
#36
43.00.8
36.937.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
4384
#28
45.40.3
40.039.7
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
red by 7.5
4130
#72
37.90.8
34.535.3
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Third
5460
#59
38.30.3
32.231.9
Auto0.2
Teleop38.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
5072
#65
34.00.8
31.131.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0