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Red170
360455.8
6766.4
571034.6
Blue89
368849.3
506939.4
550543.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581105020025017089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#37
66.41.0
70.171.1
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
red by 17.1
3688
#47
49.31.6
44.542.8
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
3604
#32
55.81.0
55.856.8
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 12.7
5505
#63
43.11.6
39.838.2
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Third
5710
#79
34.61.0
30.231.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5069
#89
39.41.6
37.535.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0