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Red97
521637.2
506939.4
296047.9
Blue182
7064.3
496767.5
14142.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9113905020025097182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#48
47.90.1
39.839.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
blue by 19.6
4967
#13
67.52.3
53.355.6
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
5069
#89
39.40.1
36.536.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 24.9
70
#4
64.32.3
50.753.0
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Third
5216
#66
37.20.1
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
141
#35
42.72.3
32.134.4
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0