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Red142
83029.3
550936.6
421633.9
Blue141
377031.0
296047.9
295957.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81119050100150200250142141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#71
36.62.6
38.841.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 20.6
2959
#22
57.11.5
50.952.4
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
4216
#77
33.92.6
31.434.0
Auto0.3
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 14.0
2960
#48
47.91.5
42.944.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
Third
830
#70
29.32.6
19.422.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3770
#99
31.01.5
23.324.8
Auto0.6
Teleop30.4
End0.0