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Red145
207536.7
504659.4
567528.2
Blue112
357028.1
247433.5
24545.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071038090120130140145112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.7
52.454.1
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
red by 13.5
245
#61
45.90.2
44.144.3
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0
Second
2075
#86
36.71.7
32.734.4
Auto4.2
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 3.1
2474
#97
33.50.2
35.335.6
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
5675
#74
28.21.7
25.226.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
3570
#101
28.10.2
27.928.1
Auto1.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0