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Red237
102397.2
521637.2
353644.0
Blue119
511438.8
261946.5
132238.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16194050200250237119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.24.1
93.997.9
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
red by 50.7
2619
#68
46.50.5
37.037.5
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
3536
#29
44.04.1
37.741.7
Auto2.0
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
5114
#87
38.80.5
38.539.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
5216
#66
37.24.1
24.428.5
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1322
#64
38.10.5
32.733.3
Auto1.9
Teleop36.2
End0.0