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Red199
54883.8
102397.2
171145.9
Blue180
10763.9
118966.3
171839.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22915450100200250300350199180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.20.4
96.696.2
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
red by 30.9
1189
#14
66.30.1
67.067.1
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
548
#3
83.80.4
83.282.8
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
red by 19.9
107
#15
63.90.1
64.564.6
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Third
1711
#41
45.90.4
45.344.9
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
red by 6.7
1718
#85
39.20.1
39.840.0
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0