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Red209
2754.2
57358.9
309849.6
Blue212
6656.4
496767.5
150248.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441640100200300400209212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#6
58.90.0
55.655.6
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
blue by 8.6
4967
#13
67.50.0
65.965.9
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
27
#55
54.20.0
50.950.9
Auto1.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
66
#25
56.40.0
54.954.9
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Third
3098
#31
49.60.0
46.346.3
Auto5.7
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
1502
#42
48.00.0
46.546.5
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0