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Quarterfinal pool 32015 FIRST in Michigan District Championship
Red152
191856.4
3380.6
413037.9
Blue180
205468.9
8564.1
233747.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173172120140160180200220240152180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
80.60.4
81.1→80.7
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
red by 11.7
2054
#20
68.90.0
69.2→69.2
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
Second
1918
#45
56.40.4
56.9→56.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
blue by 7.7
85
#16
64.10.0
64.4→64.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
Third
4130
#72
37.90.4
38.3→37.9
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
2337
#50
47.50.0
47.8→47.8
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0