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Red181
6656.4
496767.5
150248.0
Blue148
10763.9
118966.3
171839.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167163100120140180200220240181148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#13
67.50.2
66.967.0
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 1.1
1189
#14
66.30.4
67.166.7
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
66
#25
56.40.2
55.856.0
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
blue by 7.4
107
#15
63.90.4
64.664.2
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Third
1502
#42
48.00.2
47.447.6
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
1718
#85
39.20.4
40.039.6
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0