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Red104
550533.7
7449.3
360234.3
Blue35
569228.9
521327.8
553426.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167705010015020010435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#3
49.30.2
48.147.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 20.4
5692
#11
28.90.8
29.728.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
3602
#20
34.30.2
33.132.9
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 6.5
27.80.8
28.627.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
33.70.2
32.532.3
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 7.3
5534
#28
26.30.8
27.226.3
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0