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Red151
6642.1
205468.9
571230.0
Blue150
85739.5
439148.2
258627.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1379850150200250151150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.3
67.167.4
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 20.7
48.20.7
45.946.6
Auto1.1
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
66
#4
42.10.3
40.340.6
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
857
#6
39.50.7
37.338.0
Auto1.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Third
5712
#16
30.00.3
28.228.4
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
2586
#17
27.10.7
24.825.5
Auto0.4
Teleop26.6
End0.0