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Red90
7449.3
497018.4
557421.4
Blue56
361711.5
47025.4
570217.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64250501001509056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#3
49.31.5
36.638.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 23.8
470
#21
25.41.2
15.716.9
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
5574
#19
21.41.5
11.713.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 4.4
5702
#22
17.01.2
11.012.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4970
#29
18.41.5
12.313.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 6.8
3617
#35
11.51.2
5.66.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0