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Red132
6642.1
522311.8
521327.8
Blue105
439226.8
570622.8
89422.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604002080100120140160132105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#4
42.13.6
21.425.0
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 15.3
4392
#13
26.83.0
14.717.7
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
27.83.6
23.527.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
894
#24
22.93.0
13.416.4
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5223
#39
11.83.6
14.618.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 11.0
5706
#25
22.83.0
17.020.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0