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Red58
353710.5
361711.5
205468.9
Blue46
277134.0
360234.3
258627.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75754060801001205846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.9
55.154.3
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 34.6
3602
#20
34.31.4
32.831.4
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
3617
#35
11.50.9
6.85.9
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 22.5
2771
#10
34.01.4
28.827.4
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
3537
#38
10.50.9
13.712.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 16.6
2586
#17
27.11.4
18.316.9
Auto0.4
Teleop26.6
End0.0