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Red102
159625.3
570921.7
569228.9
Blue63
47025.4
437516.1
550533.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54492040608010010263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5692
#11
28.92.3
21.323.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 4.8
33.70.6
22.523.1
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
1596
#26
25.32.3
23.625.9
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
470
#21
25.40.6
16.917.5
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5709
#14
21.72.3
10.212.6
Auto0.6
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 5.6
4375
#30
16.10.6
12.012.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0