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Red67
499516.6
507226.9
570921.7
Blue85
557421.4
569228.9
548623.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436301001502002506785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#12
26.91.0
19.620.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5692
#11
28.91.1
24.425.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
5709
#14
21.71.0
13.514.5
Auto0.6
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
23.51.1
20.321.5
Auto1.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
4995
#31
16.61.0
14.415.4
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5574
#19
21.41.1
17.418.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0