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Red44
571230.0
483512.3
497018.4
Blue42
47025.4
570622.8
353710.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455401001502002503004442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#16
30.00.2
25.425.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
470
#21
25.40.6
18.818.1
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
4970
#29
18.40.2
14.714.5
Auto0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5706
#25
22.80.6
20.920.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4835
#32
12.30.2
8.17.8
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 1.9
3537
#38
10.50.6
15.214.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.0
End0.0