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Red34
522311.8
523023.8
361711.5
Blue92
439148.2
132227.0
51759.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34650501001502003492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#18
23.80.3
17.517.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 24.4
48.21.5
34.235.6
Auto1.1
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
5223
#39
11.80.3
16.416.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 15.2
1322
#23
27.01.5
21.923.3
Auto3.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
3617
#35
11.50.3
6.66.2
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
5175
#36
9.91.5
6.78.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0