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Red26
521327.8
360234.3
570217.0
Blue32
570622.8
498317.9
471520.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765301001502632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#20
34.32.1
32.530.4
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
5706
#25
22.81.3
20.218.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
27.82.1
27.024.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 7.2
4715
#33
20.61.3
15.914.5
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5702
#22
17.02.1
15.313.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4983
#34
17.91.3
22.521.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0