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Red50
159625.3
353710.5
557421.4
Blue46
548623.5
89422.9
51759.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6046020801001201401605046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#26
25.30.5
27.226.6
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
23.50.4
21.521.9
Auto1.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
5574
#19
21.40.5
18.518.0
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 1.5
894
#24
22.90.4
20.020.4
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
3537
#38
10.50.5
14.514.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
5175
#36
9.90.4
8.28.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0