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Red0
6642.1
570622.8
361711.5
Blue19
531429.5
497018.4
159625.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540100200300400500600019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#4
42.11.9
23.121.2
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 12.6
29.51.8
14.712.9
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
5706
#25
22.81.9
18.016.1
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 2.5
1596
#26
25.31.8
27.025.2
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
3617
#35
11.51.9
9.07.1
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 6.8
4970
#29
18.41.8
12.911.2
Auto0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0