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Red44
570921.7
557421.4
360234.3
Blue58
483512.3
57148.3
7449.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5247204060801004458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#20
34.30.5
30.430.0
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 15.0
74
#3
49.30.4
32.933.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
5709
#14
21.70.5
10.09.6
Auto0.6
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 9.4
4835
#32
12.30.4
8.18.5
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
5574
#19
21.40.5
13.012.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 13.1
5714
#40
8.30.4
8.58.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0