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Red50
550533.7
501413.6
51759.9
Blue29
553426.3
499516.6
439226.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305802040801001201401605029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.0
21.022.0
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
4392
#13
26.81.3
16.014.7
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5014
#37
13.61.0
9.310.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 12.8
5534
#28
26.31.3
24.923.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
5175
#36
9.91.0
4.95.9
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 6.7
4995
#31
16.61.3
14.513.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End0.0