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Red108
439226.8
258627.1
439148.2
Blue98
553426.3
557421.4
132227.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9052015020010898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.0
39.040.0
Auto1.1
Teleop47.1
End0.0
red by 21.2
1322
#23
27.01.9
25.627.5
Auto3.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
2586
#17
27.11.0
22.923.9
Auto0.4
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
5534
#28
26.31.9
17.819.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
4392
#13
26.81.0
25.926.9
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 5.4
5574
#19
21.41.9
16.918.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0