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Red140
205468.9
531429.5
499516.6
Blue76
47025.4
85739.5
522311.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10157015020014076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.92.1
57.759.8
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 29.4
857
#6
39.50.5
37.337.8
Auto1.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
29.52.1
22.524.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 4.1
470
#21
25.40.5
16.316.8
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
4995
#31
16.62.1
17.419.5
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 4.8
5223
#39
11.80.5
12.613.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0