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Red38
353710.5
483512.3
548623.5
Blue21
550533.7
521327.8
57148.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446601001502002503821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.5
23.823.2
Auto1.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 10.2
33.72.2
28.726.5
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
4835
#32
12.30.5
12.912.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 15.4
27.82.2
26.824.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
3537
#38
10.50.5
12.111.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
5714
#40
8.32.2
9.06.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0