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Red84
497018.4
51759.9
507226.9
Blue107
571230.0
360234.3
523023.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387805010015020084107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#12
26.91.9
21.723.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 7.4
3602
#20
34.31.6
29.230.9
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4970
#29
18.41.9
14.716.6
Auto0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 11.6
5712
#16
30.01.6
26.628.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
5175
#36
9.91.9
9.211.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 13.9
5230
#18
23.81.6
18.520.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0