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Red68
482719.2
501413.6
471520.6
Blue108
550533.7
522311.8
531429.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4365010015020025068108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4715
#33
20.61.0
18.819.8
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 13.1
33.72.2
26.528.7
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
4827
#27
19.21.0
18.919.9
Auto0.8
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 10.3
29.52.2
24.626.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
5014
#37
13.61.0
10.711.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
5223
#39
11.82.2
13.115.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0