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Red98
361711.5
277134.0
507226.9
Blue138
553426.3
47025.4
521327.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635820408010012098138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#10
34.01.7
32.033.6
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 6.2
27.83.8
24.628.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
5072
#12
26.91.7
23.625.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 0.6
5534
#28
26.33.8
19.723.5
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
3617
#35
11.51.7
8.710.4
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 13.9
470
#21
25.43.8
16.820.6
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0